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Belgium W vs Ukraine W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro Women Den Dreef, Heverlee
Belgium W Logo

Belgium W

2 - 1
FT
Ukraine W Logo

Ukraine W

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Wullaert T.
46'
Sub
Andrukhiv V. In: Hiryn V.
Out: Andrukhiv V.
59'
Petryk A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Belgium W
20%
Draws
0%
Ukraine W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belgium W lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine W.
  • Win probability leans Belgium W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Belgium W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Belgium W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belgium W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 68%
Ukraine W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium W Ukraine W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2024 Euro Women
Belgium W vs Ukraine W
2:1
Nov 29, 2024 Euro Women
Ukraine W vs Belgium W
0:2
Jun 2, 2013 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Ukraine W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium W Compare

Top Goalscorer Toloba A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wullaert T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ukraine W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shmatko L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium W 95 / 100
Ukraine W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium W Ukraine W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Belgium W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Ukraine W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Belgium W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ukraine W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium W VS Ukraine W
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium W

(Home)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 6

Ukraine W

(Away)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan W 1
Portugal W 8
Belarus W 1
Czech Republic W 8
Hungary W 0
Scotland W 5
Montenegro W 0
Finland W 6
Turkey W 1
Ukraine W 3
Greece W 0
Belgium W 5
Slovakia W 2
Wales W 3
Georgia W 0
Ireland W 9
Romania W 2
Poland W 6
Slovenia W 1
Austria W 5
Croatia W 1
Northern Ireland W 2
Albania W 0
Norway W 14
Bosnia & Herzegovina W 3
Serbia W 6
Luxembourg W 0
Sweden W 12
Final
Portugal W 3
Czech Republic W 2
Scotland W 0
Finland W 2
Ukraine W 1
Belgium W 4
Wales W 3
Ireland W 2
Poland W 2
Austria W 0
Northern Ireland W 0
Norway W 7
Serbia W 0
Sweden W 8