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Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belgrano Zarate host Alumni Los Hornos in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Alumni Los Hornos have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Belgrano Zarate have conceded 1.13 and scored 0.38. Head-to-head, Belgrano Zarate have won 0 to Alumni Los Hornos's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.88) point toward Alumni Los Hornos. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Belgrano Zarate
22%
Draws
18%
Alumni Los Hornos
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Belgrano Zarate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Alumni Los Hornos haven't matched Belgrano Zarate's recent run of results.
  • Belgrano Zarate are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 20%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgrano Zarate Alumni Los Hornos
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 5 2
Draws 14 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Belgrano Zarate
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgrano Zarate 58 / 100
Alumni Los Hornos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgrano Zarate Alumni Los Hornos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Belgrano Zarate went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alumni Los Hornos's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgrano Zarate VS Alumni Los Hornos
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Provincial72057:126
7Atletico Pilar71155:124
8Juventud de Bernal71064:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Ezeiza83327:712
5Belgrano Zarate82424:410
6Buenos Aires City82336:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108