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Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belgrano Zarate in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgrano Zarate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Belgrano Zarate
30%
Draws
33%
Alumni Los Hornos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belgrano Zarate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Alumni Los Hornos haven't matched Belgrano Zarate's recent run of results.
  • Belgrano Zarate are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 68%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgrano Zarate Alumni Los Hornos
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 5
Draws 15 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos
2:1
May 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Belgrano Zarate
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgrano Zarate 50 / 100
Alumni Los Hornos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgrano Zarate Alumni Los Hornos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgrano Zarate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos has conceded goals in 75% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Belgrano Zarate went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Belgrano Zarate's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belgrano Zarate VS Alumni Los Hornos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgrano Zarate

(Home)
07 Sept
Las Mandarinas
0 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
31 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
24 Aug
Ezeiza
3 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
16 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Barrancas
12 Aug
Buenos Aires City
0 : 2
Belgrano Zarate
Page 1 of 6

Alumni Los Hornos

(Away)
07 Sept
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Uribelarrea
22 Aug
Las Mandarinas
1 : 2
Alumni Los Hornos
16 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
12 Aug
Ezeiza
2 : 6
Alumni Los Hornos
09 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Barrancas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)