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Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belgrano Zarate in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgrano Zarate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Belgrano Zarate
11%
Draws
9%
Alumni Los Hornos
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Belgrano Zarate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Alumni Los Hornos haven't matched Belgrano Zarate's recent run of results.
  • Belgrano Zarate are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 68%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgrano Zarate Alumni Los Hornos
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 6 2
Draws 14 2
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos
2:1
May 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Belgrano Zarate
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgrano Zarate 86 / 100
Alumni Los Hornos 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgrano Zarate Alumni Los Hornos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Belgrano Zarate went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alumni Los Hornos's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgrano Zarate VS Alumni Los Hornos
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Provincial72057:126
7Atletico Pilar71155:124
8Juventud de Bernal71064:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Ezeiza83327:712
5Belgrano Zarate82424:410
6Buenos Aires City82336:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108