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Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Coali A.
22' Event
Rodriguez T.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Vergara F.

AI Match Summary

Defensores de Glew in this Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores de Glew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Belgrano Zarate
30%
Draws
43%
Defensores de Glew
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Belgrano Zarate haven't matched Defensores de Glew's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Defensores de Glew's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Defensores de Glew have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 10%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgrano Zarate Defensores de Glew
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 15 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.68 2.41
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:4
Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
3:3
Oct 5, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:3
May 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgrano Zarate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Defensores de Glew Compare

Top Goalscorer Coali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergara F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgrano Zarate 14 / 100
Defensores de Glew 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgrano Zarate Defensores de Glew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Glew Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Belgrano Zarate went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Belgrano Zarate found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensores de Glew let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgrano Zarate VS Defensores de Glew
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgrano Zarate

(Home)
07 Sept
Las Mandarinas
0 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
31 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
24 Aug
Ezeiza
3 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
16 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Barrancas
12 Aug
Buenos Aires City
0 : 2
Belgrano Zarate
Page 1 of 7

Defensores de Glew

(Away)
30 Sept
Uribelarrea
0 : 1
Defensores de Glew
19 Sept
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Buenos Aires City
14 Sept
Buenos Aires City
0 : 3
Defensores de Glew
07 Sept
Defensores de Glew
3 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
30 Aug
Atletico Pilar
0 : 2
Defensores de Glew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ezeiza 10 6 2 2 16:5 20
2 Social Atletico Television 10 6 2 2 13:7 20
3 Defensores de Glew 10 5 2 3 23:12 17
4 Belgrano Zarate 10 2 6 2 7:11 12
5 Estrella de Berisso 10 2 1 7 7:16 7
6 Atletico Pilar 10 1 3 6 4:19 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Metalurgico 10 6 2 2 14:4 20
2 Barrancas 10 5 3 2 11:12 18
3 Nautico Hacoaj 10 5 2 3 17:6 17
4 Everton La Plata 10 3 2 5 11:10 11
5 Provincial 10 2 3 5 7:20 9
6 Juventud de Bernal 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)