Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Coali A.
22' Event
Rodriguez T.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Vergara F.

AI Match Summary

Defensores de Glew in this Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores de Glew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Belgrano Zarate
33%
Draws
40%
Defensores de Glew
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Belgrano Zarate haven't matched Defensores de Glew's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Defensores de Glew's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Defensores de Glew have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 17%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgrano Zarate Defensores de Glew
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 14 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:4
Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
3:3
Oct 5, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:3
May 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgrano Zarate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Defensores de Glew Compare

Top Goalscorer Coali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergara F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgrano Zarate 28 / 100
Defensores de Glew 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgrano Zarate Defensores de Glew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Defensores de Glew let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Belgrano Zarate remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Belgrano Zarate scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgrano Zarate VS Defensores de Glew
0.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ezeiza1062216:520
2Social Atletico Television1062213:720
3Defensores de Glew1052323:1217
4Belgrano Zarate102627:1112
5Estrella de Berisso102177:167
6Atletico Pilar101364:196
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Metalurgico1062214:420
2Barrancas1053211:1218
3Nautico Hacoaj1052317:617
4Everton La Plata1032511:1011
5Provincial102357:209
6Juventud de Bernal102269:178