Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belisce vs Bjelovar

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fernandes L.
42' Event
Barisic T.
48' Event
Gvozdenovic B.

AI Match Summary

Bjelovar in this Druga NL 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjelovar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belisce
15%
Draws
85%
Bjelovar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bjelovar lately — more wins on the board than Belisce.
  • Model gives Bjelovar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Belisce Clean Sheet 20%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belisce Bjelovar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Druga NL
Belisce vs Bjelovar
2:4
Nov 4, 2023 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Belisce
4:1
May 20, 2023 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Belisce
2:2
Nov 12, 2022 Druga NL
Belisce vs Bjelovar
0:0
Sep 26, 2007 Croatian Cup
Bjelovar vs Belisce
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belisce Compare

Top Goalscorer Gvozdenovic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poljak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belisce 10 / 100
Bjelovar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belisce Bjelovar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Bjelovar let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Belisce found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Bjelovar's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bjelovar
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belisce

(Home)
09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0
Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2
Belisce
25 May
Belisce
1 : 6
Kustosija
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0
Belisce
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Bjelovar

(Away)
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Uskok Klis
2 : 3
Bjelovar
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Opatija 30 20 4 6 48:21 64
2 Kustosija 30 18 7 5 61:25 61
3 Mladost Zdralovi 30 18 6 6 55:23 60
4 Radnik Krizevci 30 18 4 8 51:30 58
5 Karlovac 30 17 5 8 43:33 56
6 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 12 11 7 42:28 47
7 Marsonia 30 12 4 14 52:55 40
8 Bjelovar 30 11 6 13 49:52 39
9 Dugo Selo 30 9 10 11 39:37 37
10 Dragovoljac 30 10 6 14 37:46 36
11 Hrvace 30 11 3 16 46:60 36
12 Grobnican 30 8 11 11 45:42 35
13 Trnje 30 10 3 17 30:49 33
14 Jadran Porec 30 6 10 14 36:58 28
15 Krk 30 5 9 16 26:46 24
16 Belisce 30 2 7 21 21:76 13
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Relegation)