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Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
77' Event
Penalty Missed
90'

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between Belisia Bilzen and Merelbeke finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belisia Bilzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Belisia Bilzen
15%
Draws
59%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Belisia Bilzen's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Merelbeke have produced (1.62).
  • Belisia Bilzen are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Belisia Bilzen Clean Sheet 15%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belisia Bilzen Merelbeke
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke
1:4
Aug 30, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Belisia Bilzen
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Belisia Bilzen
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belisia Bilzen 35 / 100
Merelbeke 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belisia Bilzen Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belisia Bilzen scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Merelbeke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Belisia Bilzen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belisia Bilzen VS Merelbeke
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Belisia Bilzen

(Home)
20 Sept
Knokke
3 : 2
Belisia Bilzen
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
06 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 4
Houtvenne
30 Aug
SK Roeselare
1 : 1
Belisia Bilzen
08 Aug
Hasselt
4 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
Page 1 of 6

Merelbeke

(Away)
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
06 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 4 4 0 0 15:4 12
2 Merelbeke 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Leuven B 4 3 0 1 10:9 9
4 SK Roeselare 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Mandel United 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Dessel 4 2 1 1 8:10 7
7 Knokke 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
8 K. Lyra-Lierse 4 1 3 0 11:10 6
9 Thes Sport 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
10 Tienen 4 1 1 2 9:7 4
11 Belisia Bilzen 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
12 Heist 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
13 Cercle Brugge 2 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Hoogstraten 4 0 2 2 8:10 2
15 Zelzate 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
16 KRC Harelbeke 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)