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Stadium Background

Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Erturk H.
90'
Osei Berkoe T.
90'
Osei Berkoe T.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between Belisia Bilzen and Merelbeke finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belisia Bilzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Belisia Bilzen
20%
Draws
33%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belisia Bilzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Belisia Bilzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Belisia Bilzen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Belisia Bilzen Clean Sheet 18%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belisia Bilzen Merelbeke
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke
1:4
Aug 30, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Belisia Bilzen
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Belisia Bilzen
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Belisia Bilzen vs Merelbeke
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belisia Bilzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Erturk H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Merelbeke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belisia Bilzen 67 / 100
Merelbeke 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belisia Bilzen Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belisia Bilzen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Belisia Bilzen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Belisia Bilzen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belisia Bilzen VS Merelbeke
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Belisia Bilzen

(Home)
07 Nov
Belisia Bilzen
4 : 0
K. Lyra-Lierse
31 Oct
Hoogstraten
0 : 1
Belisia Bilzen
23 Oct
Belisia Bilzen
0 : 3
Thes Sport
17 Oct
Dessel
3 : 4
Belisia Bilzen
11 Oct
Belisia Bilzen
2 : 2
Tienen
Page 1 of 6

Merelbeke

(Away)
06 Nov
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Heist
30 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 4
SK Roeselare
24 Oct
Houtvenne
1 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Oct
Knokke
0 : 3
Merelbeke
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mandel United 11 8 1 2 22:10 25
2 Houtvenne 11 7 1 3 22:15 22
3 SK Roeselare 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
4 Thes Sport 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
5 Leuven B 11 5 4 2 24:19 19
6 Merelbeke 11 5 3 3 16:13 18
7 Heist 11 5 2 4 23:15 17
8 Belisia Bilzen 11 5 2 4 21:18 17
9 Dessel 11 4 3 4 22:23 15
10 Hoogstraten 11 3 4 4 24:20 13
11 Tienen 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
12 Knokke 11 3 1 7 11:18 10
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
14 Cercle Brugge 2 11 2 3 6 16:27 9
15 Zelzate 11 2 3 6 14:26 9
16 KRC Harelbeke 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
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