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Stadium Background

Belitsa vs Shumen 1929

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2014/2015 game between Belitsa and Shumen 1929 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belitsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Belitsa
30%
Draws
29%
Shumen 1929
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Shumen 1929's 1.58 goals per match outpaces what Belitsa have produced (1.3).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Belitsa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Belitsa Clean Sheet 12%
Shumen 1929 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belitsa Shumen 1929
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2015 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Belitsa
5:1
Nov 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Belitsa vs Shumen 1929
2:1
Apr 27, 2014 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Belitsa
0:1
Oct 13, 2013 Third League - North-East
Belitsa vs Shumen 1929
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belitsa 30 / 100
Shumen 1929 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belitsa Shumen 1929

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shumen 1929 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Belitsa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Shumen 1929's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Belitsa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shumen 1929
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Belitsa

(Home)
24 May
Shumen 1929
5 : 1
Belitsa
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Dorostol
1 : 4
Belitsa
09 May
Belitsa
0 : 5
Kaliakra
06 May
Benkovski Byala
1 : 1
Belitsa
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Shumen 1929

(Away)
22 May
Shumen 1929
0 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
15 May
Inter Plachidol
3 : 2
Shumen 1929
07 May
Shumen 1929
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
29 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Shumen 1929
23 Apr
Shumen 1929
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 30 28 1 1 121:11 85
2 Chernomorets Balchik 30 24 4 2 85:14 76
3 Kaliakra 30 23 3 4 93:21 72
4 Suvorovo 30 19 2 9 47:38 59
5 FK Ticha 30 17 2 11 59:38 53
6 Benkovski Byala 30 15 4 11 46:39 49
7 Septemvri Tervel 30 15 1 14 43:46 46
8 Kubrat 30 14 3 13 48:45 45
9 Svetkavitsa 30 14 3 13 42:44 45
10 Botev Novi Pazar 30 12 2 16 45:61 38
11 Belitsa 30 10 4 16 39:58 34
12 Shumen 1929 30 9 5 16 41:52 32
13 Dve Mogili 30 6 4 20 19:53 22
14 Chernomorets Byala 30 6 3 21 25:68 21
15 Provadia 30 4 1 25 30:109 13
16 Dorostol 30 2 2 26 12:98 8
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)