Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bella Vista vs Central Esp.

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2025 Estadio José Nasazzi, Montevideo
Bella Vista Logo

Bella Vista

1 - 2
FT
Central Esp. Logo

Central Esp.

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gonella I.
25' Event
Larzabal A.
79' Event
Muniz R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Central Esp. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bella Vista
35%
Draws
39%
Central Esp.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Central Esp.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Central Esp. come out ahead of Bella Vista on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Central Esp. taking it.
  • Central Esp. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Central Esp., who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 23%
Central Esp. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bella Vista Central Esp.
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 Copa Uruguay
Bella Vista vs Central Esp.
1:2
Oct 30, 2019 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Central Esp.
0:2
Jul 20, 2019 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Bella Vista
1:2
May 31, 2013 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Bella Vista
1:1
Dec 9, 2012 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Bella Vista vs Central Esp.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Larzabal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Central Esp. Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonella I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muniz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bella Vista 21 / 100
Central Esp. 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bella Vista Central Esp.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Esp. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Esp.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bella Vista's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bella Vista stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Central Esp.
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bella Vista

(Home)
09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2
Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0
Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0
Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1
Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0
Bella Vista
Page 1 of 6

Central Esp.

(Away)
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4
Central Esp.
06 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Arsenal 0
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Libertad San Carlos 0
Defensor Sp. 3
Bella Vista 1
Juventud 0
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 1
Central Esp. 3
Rincon 1
Cerro Largo 2
San Carlos 1
Tacuarembo 2
Rio Negro SJ 0
Penarol 3
Durazno 1
Liverpool M. 3
Paso de la Arena 0
Boston River 3
Atenas Tala 0
Racing Montevideo 1
CA Florida 3
Atenas 1
Universitario Salto 2
Wanderers 0
Wanderers Durazno 2
Plaza Colonia 3
Huracan FC 1
Club Nacional 2
Porongos 3
Maldonado 2
Paysandu FC 0
Albion 2
1/8-finals
Club Oriental De Futbol 0
Defensor Sp. 2
Bella Vista 1
Central Esp. 2
Cerro Largo 0
Tacuarembo 1
Penarol 2
Liverpool M. 1
Boston River 0
Racing Montevideo 1
CA Florida 0
Universitario Salto 7
Plaza Colonia 2
Club Nacional 1
Porongos 0
Albion 4
Quarter-finals
Defensor Sp. 2
Central Esp. 0
Tacuarembo 1
Penarol 2
Racing Montevideo 4
Universitario Salto 1
Plaza Colonia 1
Albion 0
Semi-finals
Defensor Sp. 0
Penarol 2
Racing Montevideo 1
Plaza Colonia 2
Final
Penarol 2
Plaza Colonia 0