Sport Picks

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Bella Vista vs Club Oriental De Futbol

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023 Estadio José Nasazzi
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Motta B.
(Penalty)
55'
Ferreira T.
55' Event
Aguiar L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bella Vista play Club Oriental De Futbol in the Segunda Division 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bella Vista averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Club Oriental De Futbol averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Bella Vista won 1, Club Oriental De Futbol won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Bella Vista and 1.24 for Club Oriental De Futbol. This points to a Club Oriental De Futbol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bella Vista
6%
Draws
90%
Club Oriental De Futbol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Club Oriental De Futbol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bella Vista.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Club Oriental De Futbol.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda Division 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 19%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bella Vista Club Oriental De Futbol
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 12
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Club Oriental De Futbol
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Bella Vista
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bella Vista Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Top Goalscorer Antunez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bella Vista 10 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bella Vista Club Oriental De Futbol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bella Vista scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Club Oriental De Futbol let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Bella Vista went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Club Oriental De Futbol lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Club Oriental De Futbol
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%