Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bella Vista vs Miramar

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023 Estadio José Nasazzi, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Cabrera R.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Bella Vista and Miramar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bella Vista
20%
Draws
51%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bella Vista haven't matched Miramar's recent run of results.
  • Miramar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 18%
Miramar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bella Vista Miramar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Miramar
0:1
Jun 5, 2023 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Bella Vista
4:0
Mar 6, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Miramar
1:1
May 8, 2011 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Bella Vista
0:0
Nov 13, 2010 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Bella Vista vs Miramar
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bella Vista 12 / 100
Miramar 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bella Vista Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Miramar conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Bella Vista scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Bella Vista stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Miramar
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bella Vista

(Home)
09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2
Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0
Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0
Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1
Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0
Bella Vista
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Miramar

(Away)
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
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