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Bellach vs Chiasso

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Chiasso advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bellach
15%
Draws
85%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chiasso come out ahead of Bellach on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chiasso a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Chiasso arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chiasso, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Bellach Clean Sheet 20%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellach Chiasso
Matches Played 3 14
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 0.33 1.86
Goals Conceded 5.33 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2018 Swiss Cup
Bellach vs Chiasso
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellach 10 / 100
Chiasso 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellach Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiasso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Bellach's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Chiasso let in goals in 50% of their last 14 matches.

Away concern: Chiasso has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chiasso
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellach

(Home)
18 Aug
Bellach
0 : 7
Chiasso
12 Aug
Bellach
0 : 4
Koniz
26 Aug
Brunnen
5 : 1
Bellach

Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Luzern 9
Gland 1
Meilen 0
Servette 6
Klingnau 7
Bramois 0
Bellach 0
Chiasso 7
Stade Nyonnais 2
Solothurn 0
Buochs 0
Grasshoppers 2
Schaffhausen 5
Freienbach 0
Biel 2
Young Boys 3
Lugano 4
Dietikon 0
Erde 1
Azzurri Lausanne 5
Aarau 2
FC Amriswil 1
Yverdon 0
Xamax 1
Wil 3
Uzwil 0
Portalban 3
Wohlen 4
Moutier 2
AC Malcantone 0
Veyrier-Sports 1
Thun 5
Zurich 6
Concordia 0
FC Willisau 1
Breitenrain 3
Cham 6
Meyrin 1
Zug 1
Red Star Zurich 2
Rapperswil-Jona 5
Frauenfeld 0
Goldau 1
Bavois 3
Fleurier 3
Nidau 1
Langnau 0
Kriens 6
Sion 3
Koniz 0
Kosova 0
Lausanne 4
Muri 5
Grand-Saconnex 3
Ueberstorf 0
St. Gallen 6
Winterthur 3
Greifensee 0
Young Fellows Juventus 0
Bellinzona 4
Echallens 4
AS Novazzano 0
Montlingen 0
Basel 3
1/16-finals
Luzern 4
Servette 3
Klingnau 0
Chiasso 2
Stade Nyonnais 3
Grasshoppers 1
Schaffhausen 2
Young Boys 3
Lugano 1
Azzurri Lausanne 0
Aarau 1
Xamax 2
Wil 1
Wohlen 0
Moutier 1
Thun 3
Zurich 4
Breitenrain 2
Cham 0
Red Star Zurich 1
Rapperswil-Jona 3
Bavois 2
Fleurier 1
Kriens 4
Sion 1
Lausanne 0
Muri 0
St. Gallen 7
Winterthur 2
Bellinzona 1
Echallens 2
Basel 7
1/8-finals
Luzern 2
Chiasso 0
Stade Nyonnais 0
Young Boys 1
Lugano 3
Xamax 1
Wil 1
Thun 2
Zurich 3
Red Star Zurich 2
Rapperswil-Jona 1
Kriens 4
Sion 2
St. Gallen 1
Winterthur 0
Basel 1
Quarter-finals
Luzern 4
Young Boys 0
Lugano 2
Thun 3
Zurich 2
Kriens 1
Sion 2
Basel 4
Semi-finals
Luzern 0
Thun 1
Zurich 1
Basel 3
Final
Thun 1
Basel 2