Sport Picks
Bellaria Igea vs Mezzolara
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 Stadio Enrico Nanni, Bellaria 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mezzolara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Bellaria Igea have won more games recently than Mezzolara.
- Bellaria Igea are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 20%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bellaria Igea | Mezzolara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Mezzolara
0:0
Dec 6, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Bellaria Igea
2:2
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Mezzolara
0:0
Dec 14, 2014 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Bellaria Igea
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bellaria Igea 42 / 100
Mezzolara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bellaria Igea Mezzolara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bellaria Igea scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Mezzolara has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Bellaria Igea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mezzolara
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bellaria Igea
(Home) 08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1 Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0 Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0 Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0 Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2 Arzignano
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08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1 Clodiense
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0 Mezzolara
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2 Arzignano
20 Mar
Bellaria Igea
2 : 2 Correggese
27 Feb
Bellaria Igea
1 : 0 Sammaurese
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Mezzolara
(Away) 20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Rondinella
05 May
Mezzolara
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
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20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
28 Apr
Forli FC
2 : 0 Mezzolara
07 Apr
Sangiuliano City
2 : 1 Mezzolara
24 Mar
Carpi
3 : 0 Mezzolara
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma | 38 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 82:17 | 94 |
| 2 | Altovicentino | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 84:43 | 77 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 69:46 | 69 |
| 4 | San Marino Calcio | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 55:41 | 65 |
| 5 | Correggese | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66:49 | 64 |
| 6 | Imolese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 63:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Delta Porto Tolle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 68:51 | 61 |
| 8 | Ribelle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 63:54 | 61 |
| 9 | Lentigione | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 53:51 | 59 |
| 10 | Sammaurese | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 53:49 | 54 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:54 | 53 |
| 12 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 55:54 | 51 |
| 13 | Ravenna | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 50:59 | 44 |
| 14 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:51 | 44 |
| 15 | Virtus Castelfranco | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 50:59 | 42 |
| 16 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:55 | 35 |
| 17 | Villafranca | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 45:63 | 33 |
| 18 | Bellaria Igea | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 38:76 | 29 |
| 19 | Clodiense | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 35:81 | 27 |
| 20 | Fortis Juventus | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 32:97 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)
