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Bellinzona vs Basel II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bellinzona host Basel II in the Promotion League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bellinzona have averaged 1.29 scored and 2.04 conceded recently, against Basel II's 1.83 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Bellinzona have won 1 to Basel II's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2022, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.06) point toward Basel II. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bellinzona
15%
Draws
73%
Basel II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basel II come out ahead of Bellinzona on wins alone.
  • Model gives Basel II a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 10%
Basel II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellinzona Basel II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Basel II
2:0
Aug 28, 2021 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bellinzona
2:1
May 29, 2021 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Basel II
0:0
Apr 24, 2021 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bellinzona
2:1
May 2, 2020 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bellinzona
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellinzona 26 / 100
Basel II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellinzona Basel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Basel II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bellinzona found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Bellinzona VS Basel II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellinzona

(Home)
09 Aug
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Bellinzona
01 Aug
Bellinzona
0 : 2
Bavois
15 May
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 2
Bellinzona
11 May
Bellinzona
2 : 4
Wil
08 May
Lausanne Ouchy
5 : 0
Bellinzona
Page 1 of 6

Basel II

(Away)
08 Aug
Basel II
1 : 2
Grand-Saconnex
01 Aug
FC Kreuzlingen
3 : 1
Basel II
18 Jul
Old Boys
2 : 3
Basel II
30 May
Bruhl SG
1 : 0
Basel II
23 May
Basel II
3 : 0
Vevey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grand-Saconnex 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Bruhl SG 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Schaffhausen 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Biel 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 Bulle 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
6 Bavois 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Luzern II 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Paradiso 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 Young Boys II 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
10 FC Kreuzlingen 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Cham 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Amical Saint-Prex 2 1 0 1 1:6 3
13 Breitenrain 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
14 Zurich II 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Basel II 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
16 Bellinzona 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
17 Young Fellows Juventus 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
18 Lugano II 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)