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Bellinzona vs Basel II Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
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Match Events

28' Event
Huber B.
39' Event
Shkodriqi M.
54' Event
Ogbodu N.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League game between Bellinzona and Basel II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bellinzona
20%
Draws
51%
Basel II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basel II come out ahead of Bellinzona on wins alone.
  • Model gives Basel II a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 10%
Basel II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellinzona Basel II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 6 2
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Basel II
2:3
Feb 20, 2022 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Basel II
2:0
Aug 28, 2021 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bellinzona
2:1
May 29, 2021 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Basel II
0:0
Apr 24, 2021 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bellinzona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bellinzona Compare

Top Goalscorer Shkodriqi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aymon Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Basel II Compare

Top Goalscorer Huber B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ogbodu N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellinzona 14 / 100
Basel II 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellinzona Basel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bellinzona's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Basel II conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bellinzona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bellinzona VS Basel II
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellinzona

(Home)
27 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 2
Breitenrain
19 Sept
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 0
Bellinzona
13 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 1
FC Kreuzlingen
05 Sept
Paradiso
4 : 0
Bellinzona
29 Aug
Cham
1 : 1
Bellinzona
Page 1 of 6

Basel II

(Away)
26 Sept
Young Boys II
0 : 2
Basel II
19 Sept
Basel II
1 : 2
Bulle
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
29 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 3
Basel II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 9 7 1 1 21:9 22
2 Schaffhausen 9 6 1 2 15:10 19
3 Cham 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
4 Grand-Saconnex 9 6 0 3 19:13 18
5 Bulle 9 5 2 2 18:12 17
6 Paradiso 9 5 1 3 19:9 16
7 Young Fellows Juventus 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
8 Amical Saint-Prex 9 4 1 4 13:20 13
9 Basel II 9 4 0 5 16:17 12
10 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
11 Breitenrain 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
12 Young Boys II 9 3 2 4 17:21 11
13 Zurich II 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
14 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
15 Lugano II 9 3 0 6 15:21 9
16 Bavois 9 2 2 5 10:11 8
17 Luzern II 9 2 1 6 13:16 7
18 Bellinzona 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)