Sport Picks
Belmont Swansea United vs Charlestown Azzurri
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
15'
15'
Gueli M.
64'
64'
Kable J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Belmont Swansea United and Charlestown Azzurri finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belmont Swansea United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belmont Swansea United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Belmont Swansea United carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Belmont Swansea United taking it.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 16%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belmont Swansea United | Charlestown Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 3.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 3.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Belmont Swansea United
1:3
Mar 27, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Charlestown Azzurri
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:2
Apr 8, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Belmont Swansea United Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueli M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kable J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Charlestown Azzurri Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Belmont Swansea United 84 / 100
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Belmont Swansea United Charlestown Azzurri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belmont Swansea United scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Charlestown Azzurri let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Charlestown Azzurri lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Belmont Swansea United VS Charlestown Azzurri
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Belmont Swansea United
(Home) 26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
16 May
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 1 Valentine
26 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
6 : 3 Kahibah
19 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 2 Newcastle Olympic
11 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
4 : 3 Edgeworth Eagles FC
Page 1 of 3
Charlestown Azzurri
(Away) 25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
11 Jul
Cooks Hill United
4 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
11 Jul
Cooks Hill United
4 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
21 Jun
Kahibah
4 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
16 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 50:22 | 43 |
| 2 | Weston Workers Bears | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 36 |
| 3 | Maitland | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 43:38 | 32 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 29 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 35:31 | 22 |
| 8 | Valentine | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19:36 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle Olympic | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 38:36 | 21 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 31:47 | 17 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24:50 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
