Sport Picks
Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic
Australia
NPL Northern NSW 2025 Blacksmiths Oval, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
13'
13'
Patterson D.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Hay B.
69'
69'
Duncan M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW 2025 game between Belmont Swansea United and Newcastle Olympic finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Olympic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Newcastle Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Belmont Swansea United come out ahead of Newcastle Olympic on wins alone.
- Model gives Newcastle Olympic a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 13%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belmont Swansea United | Newcastle Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Belmont Swansea United
5:2
Apr 19, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic
2:3
Jun 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Belmont Swansea United Compare
Top Goalscorer Kirk S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Hay B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duncan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Belmont Swansea United 27 / 100
Newcastle Olympic 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Belmont Swansea United Newcastle Olympic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Belmont Swansea United scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Newcastle Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Belmont Swansea United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Belmont Swansea United VS Newcastle Olympic
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Belmont Swansea United
(Home) 22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
05 Jun
Cooks Hill United
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
16 May
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 1 Valentine
26 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
6 : 3 Kahibah
19 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 2 Newcastle Olympic
11 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
4 : 3 Edgeworth Eagles FC
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Olympic
(Away) 22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Newcastle Olympic
0 : 0 Cooks Hill United
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
02 May
Valentine
1 : 6 Newcastle Olympic
19 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 2 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 50:18 | 59 |
| 2 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 50:15 | 53 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 61:25 | 50 |
| 4 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 37:29 | 33 |
| 5 | Maitland | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 42:41 | 32 |
| 6 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 47:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 24 |
| 8 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 33:47 | 23 |
| 9 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 26:47 | 23 |
| 10 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 34:45 | 20 |
| 11 | Valentine | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28:60 | 16 |
| 12 | New Lambton | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 21:62 | 7 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Northern NSW State League (Main)