Sport Picks

Brazil

Pernambucano 2

America PE

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belo Jardim play America PE in the Pernambucano 2. America PE are favorites here. Recently, Belo Jardim averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. America PE averaged 2.16 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Belo Jardim won 1, America PE won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 5, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Belo Jardim and 1.94 for America PE. This points to a America PE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Belo Jardim

15%

Draws

56%

America PE

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Belo Jardim picked up more points recently compared to America PE.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 10%

America PE Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belo Jardim	America PE
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	10	20
Draws	7	6
Losses	15	5
Goals Scored	1.25	2.16
Goals Conceded	1.47	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Pernambucano 2

Belo Jardim vs America PE

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sep 6, 2025 Pernambucano 2

America PE vs Belo Jardim

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Oct 19, 2024 Pernambucano 3

Belo Jardim vs America PE

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:4

Feb 27, 2018 Pernambucano

America PE vs Belo Jardim

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Jan 25, 2017 Pernambucano

America PE vs Belo Jardim

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belo Jardim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

America PE Compare

Top Goalscorer Omah F.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belo Jardim 28 / 100

America PE 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belo Jardim America PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America PE Win (2)

Secondary Pick America PE & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belo Jardim attacking → ← attacking America PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belo Jardim scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

America PE let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Belo Jardim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

America PE lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 66

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academica Vitoria	8	3	4	1	9:6	13
2	Caruaru	8	3	4	1	8:7	13
3	CA Porto	8	2	5	1	6:4	11
4	Aguia FC	8	2	1	5	6:9	7
5	Ypiranga	8	1	4	3	3:6	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America PE	8	7	1	0	25:5	22
2	Centro Limoeirense	8	4	2	2	9:13	14
3	Belo Jardim	8	4	1	3	12:9	13
4	Ipojuca	8	1	2	5	11:18	5
5	Vera Cruz	8	0	2	6	6:18	2