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Belper Town vs Matlock

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Washington C.
44' Event
Milambo J.
47' Event
Washington C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Belper Town and Matlock finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matlock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Belper Town
15%
Draws
65%
Matlock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matlock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Matlock carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Matlock a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Belper Town Clean Sheet 10%
Matlock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belper Town Matlock
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Belper Town vs Matlock
1:4
Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Belper Town vs Matlock
1:3
Apr 10, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Belper Town vs Matlock
1:1
Dec 26, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Belper Town
4:0
Sep 4, 2021 FA Cup
Matlock vs Belper Town
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belper Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Matlock Compare

Top Goalscorer Washington C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Milambo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belper Town 10 / 100
Matlock 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belper Town Matlock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belper Town scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Matlock conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Belper Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belper Town VS Matlock
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belper Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
29 Aug
Wellingborough
2 : 1
Belper Town
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4
Matlock
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Matlock

(Away)
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3
Quorn
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