Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belshina vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Spartak Stadium, Bobruisk
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Achapovskiy A.
Assist: Golub N.
38'
Sub
Oreshkevich I. In: Bozhko E.
Out: Oreshkevich I.
66'
Sub
Kozlov Y. In: Aboghe S.
Out: Kozlov Y.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Belshina and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belshina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Belshina
35%
Draws
16%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belshina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk come out ahead of Belshina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Belshina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Belshina Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belshina Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:0
Apr 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Belshina
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Belshina
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Belshina vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:2
Oct 30, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Belshina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belshina Compare

Top Goalscorer Achapovskiy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shvedchikov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belshina 95 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belshina Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belshina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belshina's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Belshina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belshina VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belshina

(Home)
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2
Neman
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
22 Aug
Belshina
2 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)