Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Exposito I.
39'
39'
Martinez D.
43'
43'
Bernardo Villanueva Latorre J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Bembibre and Almazan finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bembibre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Almazan come out ahead of Bembibre on wins alone.
- Model gives Almazan a 26% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 11%
Almazan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bembibre | Almazan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Almazan
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Bembibre
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Almazan
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Bembibre
4:1
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Almazan
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bembibre Compare
Top Goalscorer Exposito I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Almazan Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bernardo Villanueva Latorre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bembibre 27 / 100
Almazan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bembibre Almazan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almazan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bembibre scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Almazan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Bembibre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bembibre VS Almazan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bembibre
(Home) 10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
18 Apr
Mirandes B
2 : 2 Bembibre
11 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
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02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
11 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
28 Mar
Bembibre
1 : 1 Mansilles
14 Mar
Bembibre
2 : 0 Numancia B
28 Feb
Bembibre
1 : 0 Villaralbo
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Almazan
(Away) 10 May
Almazan
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2 Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1 Mansilles
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0 Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0 Almazan
Page 1 of 6
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2 Almazan
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0 Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0 Almazan
04 Apr
Palencia CA
4 : 2 Almazan
21 Mar
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 0 Almazan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
