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Bembibre vs Mansilles

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Prieto V.
87' Event
Celada R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bembibre
35%
Draws
32%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bembibre haven't matched Mansilles's recent run of results.
  • Bembibre are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 15%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembibre Mansilles
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Mansilles
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Mansilles
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Bembibre
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Mansilles
0:0
Oct 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Bembibre
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Celada R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembibre 35 / 100
Mansilles 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembibre Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bembibre found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mansilles conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bembibre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bembibre VS Mansilles
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembibre

(Home)
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1
Bembibre
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
Page 1 of 6

Mansilles

(Away)
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)