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Bembla vs Espoir Rogba

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Troudi I.
14' Event
58' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2022/2023 game between Bembla and Espoir Rogba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bembla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bembla
15%
Draws
0%
Espoir Rogba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bembla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bembla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bembla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bembla here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bembla Clean Sheet 15%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembla Espoir Rogba
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 0.93 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2023 Ligue 2
Bembla vs Espoir Rogba
3:1
Jan 3, 2023 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Bembla
2:0
May 26, 2021 Tunisia Cup
Espoir Rogba vs Bembla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bembla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Espoir Rogba Compare

Top Goalscorer Troudi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembla 84 / 100
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembla Espoir Rogba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bembla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Rogba has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Espoir Rogba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bembla scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bembla VS Espoir Rogba
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembla

(Home)
08 Apr
Bembla
2 : 4
Hammam-Lif
01 Feb
Bembla
3 : 1
Aigle Teboulba
26 May
AS Marsa
4 : 0
Bembla
21 May
Bembla
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
14 May
Rades
5 : 1
Bembla
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Espoir Rogba

(Away)
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3
Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7
Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1
Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0
Espoir Rogba
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