Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bembla vs Union Ksibet Mediouni

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2020/2021
Sat, May 22, 2021
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bembla in this Tunisia Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bembla
15%
Draws
28%
Union Ksibet Mediouni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bembla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Bembla have won more games recently than Union Ksibet Mediouni.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bembla have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bembla, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bembla Clean Sheet 20%
Union Ksibet Mediouni Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembla Union Ksibet Mediouni
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 8 1
Draws 9 0
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.97 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.65 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tunisia Cup
Bembla vs Union Ksibet Mediouni
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembla 36 / 100
Union Ksibet Mediouni 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembla Union Ksibet Mediouni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Ksibet Mediouni has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Union Ksibet Mediouni lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Bembla's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bembla VS Union Ksibet Mediouni
0.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembla

(Home)
08 Apr
Bembla
2 : 4
Hammam-Lif
01 Feb
Bembla
3 : 1
Aigle Teboulba
26 May
AS Marsa
4 : 0
Bembla
21 May
Bembla
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
14 May
Rades
5 : 1
Bembla
Page 1 of 7

Union Ksibet Mediouni

(Away)
20 Apr
Ahly Sfaxien
3 : 0
Union Ksibet Mediouni
25 Feb
Union Ksibet Mediouni
1 : 0
Kalaa
27 Jan
Gafsa
2 : 1
Union Ksibet Mediouni
22 May
Bembla
2 : 1
Union Ksibet Mediouni
20 Nov
Union Ksibet Mediouni
0 : 2
Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Rejiche -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Mareth 1
ES BouHajla 0
Tabarka 2
Beni Khedache 0
Club Africain -
TBD -
Hammam-Lif 3
Bizerte 0
Carthage 3
Gafsa 0
TBD -
Borj Cedria -
EM Mahdia 3
BS Bouhajla 0
TBD -
Monastir -
Zaouiet Sousse -
TBD -
Zarzis 1
Ahly Sfaxien 0
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Bir Bouregba 1
CO Transports 2
Hamam-Sousse 2
Khniss 0
Espoir Rogba 3
AS Gabes 0
Bembla 2
Union Ksibet Mediouni 1
Enfida Sports 2
Rouhia 1
TBD -
Djelma -
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
Metlaoui -
Jerissa 1
SS Gafsa 2
Hezoua 0
Redeyef 1
CS Sfaxien -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Menzel Bouzaien -
TBD -
Ariana 2
SS Sfaxien 0
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
TBD -
US Tataouine -
1/16-finals
Soliman 2
Stade Tunisien 1
Rejiche 0
Ben Guerdane 1
Mareth 1
Tabarka 2
Club Africain 3
Hammam-Lif 1
Carthage 0
Borj Cedria 1
EM Mahdia 2
Monastir 3
Zaouiet Sousse 0
Zarzis 2
Esperance Tunis 0
Etoile Sahel 1
CO Transports 2
Hamam-Sousse 1
Espoir Rogba 0
Bembla 1
Enfida Sports 0
Djelma 2
JS Kairouan 0
Metlaoui 1
SS Gafsa 1
Redeyef 0
CS Sfaxien 2
CA Bizertin 1
Menzel Bouzaien 0
Ariana 2
Olympique Beja 2
US Tataouine 0
1/8-finals
Soliman 2
Ben Guerdane 1
Tabarka 1
Club Africain 2
Borj Cedria 1
Monastir 4
Zarzis 1
Etoile Sahel 0
CO Transports 1
Bembla 0
Djelma 0
Metlaoui 1
SS Gafsa 0
CS Sfaxien 2
Ariana 1
Olympique Beja 2
Quarter-finals
Soliman 1
Club Africain 2
Monastir 1
Zarzis 0
CO Transports 1
Metlaoui 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Olympique Beja 0
Semi-finals
Club Africain 1
Monastir 0
CO Transports 0
CS Sfaxien 2
Final
Club Africain 0
CS Sfaxien 1