Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ben Guerdane vs Hammam-Lif

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 7 March Stadium, Ben Guerdane
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sangare N.
35'
Camara M.
37'
Mejri M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between Ben Guerdane and Hammam-Lif finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ben Guerdane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ben Guerdane
20%
Draws
22%
Hammam-Lif
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ben Guerdane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammam-Lif carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 68%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ben Guerdane Hammam-Lif
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Hammam-Lif
1:0
Feb 20, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Ben Guerdane
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Hammam-Lif
1:2
Aug 15, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Ben Guerdane
1:2
Nov 3, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Hammam-Lif
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ben Guerdane Compare

Top Goalscorer Oboh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Hammam-Lif Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ben Guerdane 41 / 100
Hammam-Lif 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ben Guerdane Hammam-Lif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ben Guerdane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammam-Lif's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ben Guerdane went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hammam-Lif lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ben Guerdane VS Hammam-Lif
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ben Guerdane

(Home)
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3
Ben Guerdane
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6

Hammam-Lif

(Away)
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)