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Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 7 March Stadium, Ben Guerdane
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ben Guerdane host Stade Tunisien in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Ben Guerdane at 0.86 goals for, 0.86 against; Stade Tunisien at 0.96 for, 0.79 against. Past meetings favor Stade Tunisien slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.88) point toward Ben Guerdane. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ben Guerdane
30%
Draws
33%
Stade Tunisien
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ben Guerdane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ben Guerdane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ben Guerdane Stade Tunisien
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.86 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Ben Guerdane
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Ben Guerdane
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Ben Guerdane
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ben Guerdane 31 / 100
Stade Tunisien 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ben Guerdane Stade Tunisien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ben Guerdane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ben Guerdane stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ben Guerdane's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Stade Tunisien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ben Guerdane VS Stade Tunisien
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ben Guerdane

(Home)
10 Oct
Ben Guerdane
2 : 1
Club Africain
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3
Ben Guerdane
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 6

Stade Tunisien

(Away)
11 Oct
Metlaoui
1 : 2
Stade Tunisien
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9 Stade Tunisien 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Zarzis 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
11 AS Marsa 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Etoile Sahel 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 Hammam-Lif 5 1 0 4 1:4 3
14 Metlaoui 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
15 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Hamam-Sousse 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)