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Bendel vs Abia Warriors

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium, Benin City
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Wisdom U. In: Anyanwu P.
Out: Wisdom U.
46'
Sub
Dung E. In: Ubiomo E.
Out: Dung E.
62' Event
Nwosu C.

AI Match Summary

Bendel in this NPFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bendel
20%
Draws
10%
Abia Warriors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bendel lately — more wins on the board than Abia Warriors.
  • Win probability leans Bendel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Bendel Clean Sheet 20%
Abia Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bendel Abia Warriors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.41 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Abia Warriors
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 NPFL
Abia Warriors vs Bendel
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 NPFL
Abia Warriors vs Bendel
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Abia Warriors
0:1
Jun 9, 2024 NPFL
Abia Warriors vs Bendel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bendel Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwosu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Abia Warriors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 85 / 100
Abia Warriors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bendel Abia Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bendel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Abia Warriors let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Bendel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Abia Warriors registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Abia Warriors
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bendel

(Home)
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0
Bendel
30 Aug
Bendel
2 : 1
Warri Wolves
06 Jun
Bendel
3 : 4
El Kanemi Warriors
01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1
Crown FC
24 May
Bendel
1 : 1
Remo Stars
Page 1 of 6

Abia Warriors

(Away)
07 Sept
Ranchers Bees
4 : 0
Abia Warriors
31 Aug
Abia Warriors
0 : 0
Kun Khalifa
24 May
Warri Wolves
2 : 1
Abia Warriors
10 May
Abia Warriors
0 : 2
Kun Khalifa
03 May
Rivers United
3 : 0
Abia Warriors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)