Sport Picks

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Bendel vs Abia Warriors

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium, Benin City
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Wisdom U. In: Anyanwu P.
Out: Wisdom U.
46'
Sub
Dung E. In: Ubiomo E.
Out: Dung E.
62' Event
Nwosu C.

AI Match Summary

Bendel in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bendel
6%
Draws
4%
Abia Warriors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bendel lately — more wins on the board than Abia Warriors.
  • Win probability leans Bendel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Bendel Clean Sheet 20%
Abia Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bendel Abia Warriors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Abia Warriors
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 NPFL
Abia Warriors vs Bendel
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 NPFL
Abia Warriors vs Bendel
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Abia Warriors
0:1
Jun 9, 2024 NPFL
Abia Warriors vs Bendel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bendel Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwosu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Abia Warriors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 85 / 100
Abia Warriors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bendel Abia Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Abia Warriors let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Bendel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Abia Warriors registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Abia Warriors
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bendel

(Home)
06 Jun
Bendel
3 : 4
El Kanemi Warriors
01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1
Crown FC
24 May
Bendel
1 : 1
Remo Stars
10 May
Rangers International
2 : 1
Bendel
04 May
Bendel
1 : 0
Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6

Abia Warriors

(Away)
24 May
Warri Wolves
2 : 1
Abia Warriors
10 May
Abia Warriors
0 : 2
Kun Khalifa
03 May
Rivers United
3 : 0
Abia Warriors
19 Apr
Abia Warriors
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
11 Apr
Bendel
1 : 0
Abia Warriors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rangers International381911847:2768
2Rivers United381910944:3167
3Shooting381861441:4060
4Ikorodu City3816101243:3958
5Bendel3814141044:3856
6Nasarawa United381681437:3456
7Abia Warriors381671531:3455
8Barau3813131234:3052
9Katsina Utd3814101436:3952
10Plateau United381551839:4050
11Enyimba International3813101544:4249
12Kun Khalifa3813101542:4049
13Warri Wolves3813101536:4149
14Niger Tornadoes381391637:3648
15Kano Pillars381561734:3948
16Kwara3813111432:3647
17Remo Stars381451942:4747
18El Kanemi Warriors381381727:4647
19Bayelsa United3811101737:4243
20Wikki Tourists389131636:4840
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)