Sport Picks
Bendel vs Katsina Utd
Nigeria
NPFL 2025/2026 Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium, Benin City 
Match Events
87'
87'
Oweilayefa A.
90'
90'
Sub
Akuneto C. In: Musa S.
Out: Akuneto C.
AI Match Summary
The NPFL 2025/2026 game between Bendel and Katsina Utd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bendel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bendel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bendel carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Bendel a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Bendel have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bendel Clean Sheet 18%
Katsina Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bendel | Katsina Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Katsina Utd
1:0
Dec 8, 2025 NPFL
Katsina Utd vs Bendel
0:1
Feb 3, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Katsina Utd
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 NPFL
Katsina Utd vs Bendel
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Katsina Utd
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bendel Compare
Top Goalscorer Oweilayefa A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Katsina Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bendel 76 / 100
Katsina Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bendel Katsina Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bendel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bendel's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Katsina Utd conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Solid form: Bendel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bendel VS Katsina Utd
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bendel
(Home) 23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1 Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1 Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2 Kun Khalifa
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Bendel
30 Aug
Bendel
2 : 1 Warri Wolves
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1 Ikorodu City
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2 Kun Khalifa
30 Aug
Bendel
2 : 1 Warri Wolves
06 Jun
Bendel
3 : 4 El Kanemi Warriors
01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1 Crown FC
Page 1 of 4
Katsina Utd
(Away) 23 Sept
Shooting
2 : 0 Katsina Utd
19 Sept
Katsina Utd
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
30 Aug
Rangers International
1 : 1 Katsina Utd
24 May
Rivers United
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Shooting
2 : 0 Katsina Utd
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
30 Aug
Rangers International
1 : 1 Katsina Utd
24 May
Rivers United
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
04 May
Bendel
1 : 0 Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 47:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 44:31 | 67 |
| 3 | Shooting | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 41:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Ikorodu City | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 43:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Bendel | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 44:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 37:34 | 56 |
| 7 | Abia Warriors | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 31:34 | 55 |
| 8 | Barau | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:30 | 52 |
| 9 | Katsina Utd | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 36:39 | 52 |
| 10 | Plateau United | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 39:40 | 50 |
| 11 | Enyimba International | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 44:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Kun Khalifa | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 42:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:41 | 49 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 37:36 | 48 |
| 15 | Kano Pillars | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 34:39 | 48 |
| 16 | Kwara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 32:36 | 47 |
| 17 | Remo Stars | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 18 | El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 27:46 | 47 |
| 19 | Bayelsa United | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 20 | Wikki Tourists | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36:48 | 40 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
