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Bendel vs Plateau United Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium, Benin City
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Oweilayefa A.
19'
Sub
Abdallah I. In: Pam M.
Out: Abdallah I.
41' Event
Monday G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bendel
20%
Draws
52%
Plateau United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plateau United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bendel lately — more wins on the board than Plateau United.
  • Plateau United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bendel Clean Sheet 15%
Plateau United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bendel Plateau United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Plateau United
2:2
Nov 10, 2025 NPFL
Plateau United vs Bendel
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 NPFL
Plateau United vs Bendel
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Plateau United
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 NPFL
Plateau United vs Bendel
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bendel Compare

Top Goalscorer Oweilayefa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Plateau United Compare

Top Goalscorer Monday G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 19 / 100
Plateau United 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bendel Plateau United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plateau United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bendel scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Plateau United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bendel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Plateau United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bendel

(Home)
27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0
Bendel
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2
Kun Khalifa
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0
Bendel
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Plateau United

(Away)
27 Sept
Plateau United
2 : 0
Inter Lagos
23 Sept
Doma United
2 : 2
Plateau United
20 Sept
Plateau United
3 : 1
Shooting
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1
Plateau United
06 Sept
Plateau United
1 : 0
Kwara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)