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Benevento vs Avellino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benevento host Avellino in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Avellino have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Benevento have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Avellino slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.19) back Benevento to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Benevento
35%
Draws
25%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Benevento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Benevento's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Benevento Clean Sheet 20%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Avellino
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.64 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Benevento
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Avellino
2:2
Apr 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Benevento
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Avellino
0:1
May 1, 2017 Serie B
Benevento vs Avellino
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 49 / 100
Avellino 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benevento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benevento scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Avellino let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Benevento has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Avellino
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 3
Benevento
17 Oct
Benevento
2 : 2
Vicenza
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 6

Avellino

(Away)
27 Oct
Entella
1 : 1
Avellino
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 9 7 2 0 21:11 23
2 Modena 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
3 Ascoli 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
4 Mantova 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Benevento 9 4 3 2 14:8 15
6 Pisa 9 4 3 2 18:13 15
7 Padova 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Sudtirol 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
9 Verona 9 3 3 3 16:13 12
10 Avellino 9 3 3 3 13:10 12
11 Cesena 9 2 5 2 10:13 11
12 Entella 9 2 4 3 11:10 10
13 Carrarese 9 3 1 5 9:10 10
14 Arezzo 9 3 1 5 9:19 10
15 Cremonese 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
16 Vicenza 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Juve Stabia 9 3 3 3 9:9 8
18 Empoli 9 2 1 6 8:15 7
19 Sampdoria 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
20 Catanzaro 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)