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Benevento vs Sudtirol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Floro Flores A.
55'
Merkaj S.
59'
Sub
Lopes V. In: Burnete R.
Out: Lopes V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Benevento
35%
Draws
18%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sudtirol haven't matched Benevento's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Benevento taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Benevento Clean Sheet 68%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie B
Benevento vs Sudtirol
1:1
Mar 1, 2023 Serie B
Benevento vs Sudtirol
0:2
Oct 9, 2022 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Benevento
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Merkaj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 95 / 100
Sudtirol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benevento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benevento scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sudtirol conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Benevento went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Sudtirol
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
31 Oct
Cremonese
2 : 0
Benevento
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 3
Benevento
17 Oct
Benevento
2 : 2
Vicenza
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
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Sudtirol

(Away)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Juve Stabia
3 : 0
Sudtirol
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)