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Benfica B vs Chaves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Benfica Campus, Seixal
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica B host Chaves in the Liga Portugal 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Chaves have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Benfica B have conceded 1 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Benfica B slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.81, favoring Benfica B. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Benfica B
15%
Draws
39%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chaves come out ahead of Benfica B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Benfica B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica B Chaves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 1
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.28
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Chaves
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Benfica B
1:1
Feb 28, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Benfica B
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Chaves
1:0
Feb 25, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Benfica B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica B 58 / 100
Chaves 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica B Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica B scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Chaves has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Benfica B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica B VS Chaves
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica B

(Home)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
Page 1 of 6

Chaves

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
2 Sporting CP B 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
3 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
4 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
10 Portimonense 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
13 FC Porto B 7 2 1 4 6:14 7
14 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
15 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
16 Amarante FC 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
17 Chaves 7 1 2 4 6:14 5
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)