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Benfica B vs FC Felgueiras

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Benfica Campus
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Araujo H.
42' Event
Moreira G.
Assist: Araujo H.
46'
Sub
Conceicao B. In: Casimiro
Out: Conceicao B.

AI Match Summary

Benfica B in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Benfica B
33%
Draws
40%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Felgueiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benfica B lately — more wins on the board than FC Felgueiras.
  • Model gives FC Felgueiras a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 17%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica B FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs FC Felgueiras
4:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Benfica B
2:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Benfica B
3:3
Dec 22, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs FC Felgueiras
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica B Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

FC Felgueiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica B 28 / 100
FC Felgueiras 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica B FC Felgueiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Benfica B's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Recent resilience: Benfica B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FC Felgueiras has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benfica B VS FC Felgueiras
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934