Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica B vs Leiria

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Benfica Campus, Seixal
Benfica B Logo

Benfica B

2 - 2
FT
Leiria Logo

Leiria

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Felix N. In: Figueiredo M.
Out: Felix N.
35'
Marcelo
45' Event
Fernandez P.
Assist: Rofino V. G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Benfica B and Leiria finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Benfica B
11%
Draws
9%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Benfica B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 68%
Leiria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica B Leiria
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Leiria
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Benfica B
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Benfica B
1:3
Dec 7, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Leiria
0:5
Jan 29, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Leiria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica B Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trevisan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Leiria Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica B 86 / 100
Leiria 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica B Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Benfica B remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Benfica B scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Leiria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica B VS Leiria
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica B

(Home)
01 Aug
Atletico CP
0 : 1
Benfica B
25 Jul
Benfica B
4 : 0
AD Merida
22 Jul
Benfica B
2 : 1
Al Nassr
18 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Torreense
15 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6

Leiria

(Away)
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2
Feirense
09 May
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 41:42 51
6 Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 50
7 Leixoes 34 15 5 14 46:55 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 43:44 44
11 FC Felgueiras 34 11 11 12 34:38 44
12 Lusitania FC 34 11 10 13 44:52 43
13 Sporting CP B 34 13 3 18 41:34 42
14 Penafiel 34 11 8 15 37:39 41
15 Portimonense 34 11 7 16 39:49 40
16 SC Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 40
17 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 12 13 34:48 39
18 Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 34
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)