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Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Almeida S.
32' Event
Umeh J.
46' Event
Silva F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Benfica U19 and Leiria U19 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Benfica U19
30%
Draws
9%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Benfica U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Benfica U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Benfica U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.58 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
5:0
May 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
5:2
Mar 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Benfica U19
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Benfica U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Umeh J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica U19 95 / 100
Leiria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica U19 Leiria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benfica U19 scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Leiria U19 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Benfica U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benfica U19 VS Leiria U19
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
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Leiria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
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