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Benfica vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica play Cheng Fung in the Elite League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Benfica averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Cheng Fung averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. In past meetings, Benfica won 3, Cheng Fung won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Benfica and 1.94 for Cheng Fung. This points to a Benfica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Benfica
28%
Draws
29%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Benfica picked up more points recently compared to Cheng Fung.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Cheng Fung
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Cheng Fung
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Benfica
1:3
Jul 13, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Benfica
1:5
May 30, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs Cheng Fung
1:0
May 4, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs Cheng Fung
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Akubo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Cheng Fung Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 41 / 100
Cheng Fung 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Cheng Fung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Benfica or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Benfica attacking → ← attacking Cheng Fung

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cheng Fung let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Benfica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cheng Fung lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 33
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Must IPO17142178:1044
2Shao Jiang17141264:1343
3University of Macau1782733:3226
4Benfica1781831:2825
5Cheng Fung1755722:4220