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Benfica vs Chuac Lun Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Benfica
15%
Draws
0%
Chuac Lun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica have won more games recently than Chuac Lun.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Benfica taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Benfica have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Chuac Lun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Chuac Lun
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 2.97 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Benfica
0:9
Feb 4, 2016 Elite League
Benfica vs Chuac Lun
7:0
Jun 21, 2015 Elite League
Benfica vs Chuac Lun
7:0
Apr 11, 2015 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Benfica
1:12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 83 / 100
Chuac Lun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Chuac Lun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuac Lun has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Chuac Lun lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Benfica's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Chuac Lun

(Away)
10 Jun
Chuac Lun
1 : 5
Lai Chi
27 May
Chuac Lun
0 : 2
Sporting Macau
19 May
Kei Lun
3 : 1
Chuac Lun
07 May
Chuac Lun
1 : 7
Monte Carlo
29 Apr
Policia
3 : 0
Chuac Lun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)