Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Sub
Barrenechea E. In: Palhinha J.
Out: Barrenechea E.
40'
40'
Pavlidis V.
46'
46'
Sub
Xeka In: Holsgrove J.
Out: Xeka
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Benfica and Estoril finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
15%
5%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Estoril haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
Estoril Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.71 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Estoril
2:1
May 16, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Benfica
1:3
Jan 3, 2026 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Estoril
3:1
May 3, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Benfica
1:2
Dec 23, 2024 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Estoril
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavlidis V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lenglet C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Estoril Compare
Top Goalscorer Begraoui Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Benfica 85 / 100
Estoril 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Benfica Estoril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Benfica scored in 100% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Benfica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Estoril let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Benfica VS Estoril
3.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica
(Home) 13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
27 Aug
Aarhus
1 : 3 Benfica
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
20 Aug
Benfica
3 : 1 Aarhus
09 Aug
Benfica
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1 Hearts
Page 1 of 4
Estoril
(Away) 14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0 Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
16 Aug
Nacional
2 : 0 Estoril
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0 Estoril
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
16 Aug
Nacional
2 : 0 Estoril
31 Jul
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 1 Estoril
22 Jul
Alverca
2 : 0 Estoril
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela da Amadora | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Maritimo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
