Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Hernandez H.
Assist: Pinto Martins G.
12'
12'
Barrenechea E.
26'
26'
Hernandez H.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Benfica and Gil Vicente finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Benfica here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 68%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 24 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Gil Vicente
3:1
Mar 2, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Benfica
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Gil Vicente
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Benfica
0:3
Sep 28, 2024 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Gil Vicente
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavlidis V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prestianni G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Gil Vicente Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Benfica 95 / 100
Gil Vicente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Benfica Gil Vicente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Benfica's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Benfica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Gil Vicente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Benfica VS Gil Vicente
3.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica
(Home) 16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
20 Aug
Benfica
3 : 1 Aarhus
09 Aug
Benfica
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1 Hearts
Page 1 of 4
Gil Vicente
(Away) 13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Gil Vicente
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
03 May
Rio Ave
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
