Sport Picks
Benfica vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Europa League Estádio da Luz, Lisbon 
Match Events
6'
6'
Silva R.
27'
27'
Agnero Y.
42'
42'
Banjaqui D.
AI Match Summary
Benfica in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Benfica lately — more wins on the board than Lech Poznan.
- Model gives Benfica a 58% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Benfica have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 68%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.9 | 2.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 5, 2026 Europa League
Benfica vs Lech Poznan
3:1
Dec 3, 2020 Europa League
Benfica vs Lech Poznan
4:0
Oct 22, 2020 Europa League
Lech Poznan vs Benfica
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prestianni G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Lech Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Bengtsson L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Benfica 95 / 100
Lech Poznan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Benfica Lech Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Benfica's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.67 goals.
Benfica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Lech Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Benfica VS Lech Poznan
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica
(Home) 05 Nov
Benfica
3 : 1 Lech Poznan
02 Nov
Benfica
1 : 0 Alverca
29 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1 Gil Vicente
26 Oct
Santa Clara
1 : 2 Benfica
22 Oct
Omonia
1 : 4 Benfica
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Benfica
3 : 1 Lech Poznan
02 Nov
Benfica
1 : 0 Alverca
29 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1 Gil Vicente
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1 Celtic
11 Oct
Benfica
2 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 4
Lech Poznan
(Away) 05 Nov
Benfica
3 : 1 Lech Poznan
31 Oct
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 Wisla
28 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Lech Poznan
25 Oct
Legia
1 : 2 Lech Poznan
22 Oct
Lech Poznan
1 : 1 Sunderland
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Benfica
3 : 1 Lech Poznan
28 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Lech Poznan
25 Oct
Legia
1 : 2 Lech Poznan
10 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Royale Union SG | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Din. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI Crete | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Salzburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 | H. Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
