Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica vs Lun Lok

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Benfica Logo

Benfica

8 - 0
FT
Lun Lok Logo

Lun Lok

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Jibrin M.
12' Event
Figueira A. A. J.
17' Event
Alves A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between Benfica and Lun Lok finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Benfica
15%
Draws
0%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 68%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Lun Lok
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 2.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.94 5.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs Lun Lok
3:0
Jul 7, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Lun Lok
8:0
May 11, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Benfica
1:8
Apr 20, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Lun Lok
9:2
Jul 8, 2023 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Benfica
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Jibrin M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alves A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lun Lok Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 95 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lun Lok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.20 goals per match.

Lun Lok lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Benfica scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Lun Lok
1.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

Lun Lok

(Away)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 17 15 1 1 74:15 46
2 Must IPO 17 13 3 1 84:11 42
3 Cheng Fung 17 9 4 4 38:20 31
4 Hang Sai 17 6 1 10 33:57 19
5 Lun Lok 17 4 2 11 26:78 14
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)