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Benfica vs Lun Lok Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Niki
56' Event
Chan M.
60' Event
Dias R.

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Benfica
15%
Draws
0%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica have won more games recently than Lun Lok.
  • Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Benfica have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Lun Lok
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 2.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.89 5.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs Lun Lok
3:0
Jul 7, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Lun Lok
8:0
May 11, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Benfica
1:8
Apr 20, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Lun Lok
9:2
Jul 8, 2023 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Benfica
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Niki
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lun Lok Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 83 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lun Lok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.20 goals per match.

Lun Lok's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Lun Lok
1.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

Lun Lok

(Away)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 7 2 0 39:5 23
2 Shao Jiang 9 7 1 1 44:6 22
3 University of Macau 9 6 1 2 25:10 19
4 Cheng Fung 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
5 Benfica 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Chiba 9 3 1 5 19:26 10
7 Gala 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
8 Hang Sai 9 2 1 6 17:26 7
9 Lun Lok 9 1 0 8 10:40 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 0 9 1:57 0
Promotion - Elite League 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2025 (Relegation Group)