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Benfica vs Macau U23

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Benfica Logo

Benfica

4 - 0
FT
Macau U23 Logo

Macau U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2015 game between Benfica and Macau U23 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Benfica
15%
Draws
0%
Macau U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Macau U23 haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Benfica a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • History favors Benfica here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 13%
Macau U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Macau U23
Matches Played 51 34
Wins 33 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 32
Goals Scored 3.96 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.33 4.47
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2019 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Benfica
0:1
Jan 30, 2019 Elite League
Benfica vs Macau U23
3:1
May 7, 2017 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Benfica
0:4
Feb 19, 2017 Elite League
Benfica vs Macau U23
9:1
May 29, 2015 Elite League
Benfica vs Macau U23
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 84 / 100
Macau U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Macau U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 82% of their last 51 outings.

Macau U23 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Macau U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Macau U23
2 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 11

Macau U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 5
Indonesia U23
03 Sept
South Korea U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
12 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
09 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 3
Kuwait U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)