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Benfica vs Oliv. Bairro Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2006/2007
Benfica Logo

Benfica

5 - 0
FT
Oliv. Bairro Logo

Oliv. Bairro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Benfica advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Benfica
15%
Draws
28%
Oliv. Bairro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Benfica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Benfica, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
Oliv. Bairro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Oliv. Bairro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.66 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Benfica vs Oliv. Bairro
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 85 / 100
Oliv. Bairro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Oliv. Bairro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 100% of their last 32 outings.

Oliv. Bairro has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Benfica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4
Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 7

Oliv. Bairro

(Away)
01 Sept
Oliv. Bairro
0 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Apr
Oliv. Bairro
1 : 3
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Apr
SC Angrense
2 : 3
Oliv. Bairro
15 Apr
Oliv. Bairro
1 : 2
Anadia
07 Apr
Padroense
2 : 3
Oliv. Bairro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Atletico CP 1
FC Porto 0
Estoril 1
Santa Clara 2
Leixoes 2
Famalicao 1
Vitoria Setubal 1
Academica 2
Sporting CP 3
U. Madeira 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Camacha 1
Olhanense 0
Juv. Evora 1
Pinhalnovense 4
Boavista 3
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Maria de Fonte 1
Penalva do Castelo 2
Penafiel 1
Maritimo 0
Vizela 0
Nacional 3
Futebol Clube da Maia 2
Lagoa 0
Oliveirense 0
Aves 1
Louletano 1
SC Espinho 0
Santana 0
Beira Mar 6
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Olivais e Moscavide -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Pontassolense -
Benfica 5
Oliv. Bairro 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Leiria 2
Sertanense 1
SC Lusitania 0
AD Valecambrense 2
Varzim 4
GD Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Marco -
Estrela da Amadora 2
Feirense 1
Casa Pia 0
Naval 4
Odivelas FC 1
Santiago FC 0
Covilha 0
Mafra 1
Gondomar 3
UD Rio Maior 0
Paredes 2
BSAD 4
1/16-finals
Atletico CP 1
Santa Clara 0
Leixoes 1
Academica 2
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 1
Camacha 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Boavista 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
Penafiel 0
Nacional 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 1
Aves 0
Louletano 2
Beira Mar 4
Braga 5
Portimonense 2
Olivais e Moscavide 1
AD Pontassolense 2
Benfica 2
Leiria 1
Sertanense 1
Varzim 3
GD Braganca 4
FC Marco 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Naval 1
Odivelas FC 3
Mafra 1
Gondomar 1
BSAD 4
1/8-finals
Atletico CP 0
Academica 1
Sporting CP 6
Pinhalnovense 0
Boavista 2
Nacional 0
Futebol Clube da Maia 0
Beira Mar 2
Braga 2
AD Pontassolense 1
Benfica 1
Varzim 2
GD Braganca 1
Naval 0
Odivelas FC 0
BSAD 1
Quarter-finals
Academica 1
Sporting CP 2
Boavista 0
Beira Mar 2
Braga 2
Varzim 0
GD Braganca 1
BSAD 2
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 2
Beira Mar 1
Braga 1
BSAD 2
Final
Sporting CP 1
BSAD 0