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Benfica vs Shao Jiang

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Morillo E.
21' Event
Sam C.
27' Event
Sam C.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Benfica and Shao Jiang finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Benfica
6%
Draws
90%
Shao Jiang
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shao Jiang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Shao Jiang taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors Shao Jiang here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Shao Jiang
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 24
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 2.75 4.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Shao Jiang
2:4
Apr 11, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs Shao Jiang
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niki
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sam C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 10 / 100
Shao Jiang 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Shao Jiang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Benfica found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Shao Jiang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Benfica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Shao Jiang
2.75 Goals Scored 4.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shao Jiang17142183:1644
2Must IPO17132281:1441
3Gala17122352:2138
4Chiba1784544:2828
5Benfica1773744:4124
6Cheng Fung1756629:3621
7G. Universe1762946:6920
8Hang Sai17341033:4413
9Artilheiros17331124:9512
10University of Macau17001713:850