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Benfica vs Shao Jiang Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Morillo E.
21' Event
Sam C.
27' Event
Sam C.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Benfica and Shao Jiang finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Benfica
15%
Draws
61%
Shao Jiang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Shao Jiang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Shao Jiang taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors Shao Jiang here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Shao Jiang
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 26
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 2.2 4.73
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Shao Jiang
2:4
Apr 11, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs Shao Jiang
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Benfica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niki
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sam C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 10 / 100
Shao Jiang 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Shao Jiang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shao Jiang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Benfica found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Shao Jiang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Benfica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Shao Jiang
2.25 Goals Scored 5.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Shao Jiang

(Away)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
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