Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica vs Tomar

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Primeira Liga 1975/1976 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Benfica
15%
Draws
14%
Tomar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benfica lately — more wins on the board than Tomar.
  • Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primeira Liga 1975/1976 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Benfica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
Tomar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Tomar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 6 2
Losses 3 23
Goals Scored 2.72 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 1976 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Tomar
6:1
Sep 14, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Benfica
0:2
May 11, 1975 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Tomar
3:1
Dec 29, 1974 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Benfica
0:0
Apr 15, 1973 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Tomar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 85 / 100
Tomar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Tomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (29 games).

Tomar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Benfica remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4
Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
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Tomar

(Away)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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