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Benfica vs University of Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Niki
33' Event
Figueira A. A. J.
41' Event
Figueira A. A. J.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between Benfica and University of Macau finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Benfica
6%
Draws
4%
University of Macau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica University of Macau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 2.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 4.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
10:0
Apr 19, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Benfica
0:6
Aug 2, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
4:1
Jun 15, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Benfica
1:0
Feb 19, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueira A. A. J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Niki
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Wong Wai-Kit
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 85 / 100
University of Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica University of Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Macau let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Difficult form: University of Macau registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Benfica found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS University of Macau
2.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
19 Jun
Gala
5 : 0
Benfica
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University of Macau

(Away)
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
20 Jun
Shao Jiang
6 : 0
University of Macau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO17142178:1044
2Shao Jiang17141264:1343
3University of Macau1782733:3226
4Benfica1781831:2825
5Cheng Fung1755722:4220
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