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Bengaluru FC vs Indian Navy

India India

Durand Cup 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bengaluru FC play Indian Navy in the Durand Cup 2024. Bengaluru FC are favorites here. Recently, Bengaluru FC averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Indian Navy averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.05 conceded. In past meetings, Bengaluru FC won 2, Indian Navy won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 31, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Bengaluru FC and 0.94 for Indian Navy. This points to a Bengaluru FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bengaluru FC
20%
Draws
16%
Indian Navy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bengaluru FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Bengaluru FC picked up more points recently compared to Indian Navy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Bengaluru FC Clean Sheet 24%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bengaluru FC Indian Navy
Matches Played 36 20
Wins 16 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.64 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2024 Durand Cup
Bengaluru FC vs Indian Navy
4:0
Sep 21, 2021 Durand Cup
Bengaluru FC vs Indian Navy
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bengaluru FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bheke R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Indian Navy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bengaluru FC 62 / 100
Indian Navy 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bengaluru FC Indian Navy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bengaluru FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bengaluru FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bengaluru FC attacking → ← attacking Indian Navy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bengaluru FC scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Indian Navy let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Bengaluru FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Indian Navy lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 12
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mohun Bagan22007:07
2East Bengal22006:27
3Downtown Heroes31023:43
4Indian Air Force (New Delhi)30031:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bengaluru FC330010:29
2Mohammedan31114:44
3Inter Kashi31113:54
4Indian Navy30031:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kerala Blasters321016:17
2Minerva Punjab32107:17
3CISF Protectors31022:103
4Mumbai City30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Army Red33007:29
2Jamshedpur32017:46
3Chennaiyin FC31023:43
4Assam Rifles30031:80
5Bangladesh Army00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North East United330011:19
2Bodoland FC32016:56
3Odisha FC31026:73
4Border Security Force30033:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lajong32104:17
2FC Goa32107:57
3Nepal Army31023:33
4Rangdajied United30033:80
5Hyderabad00000:00