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Beni Thour vs IRB Nezla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beni Thour host IRB Nezla in the Ligue 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Beni Thour have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against IRB Nezla's 0.4 scored and 2.2 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.45 - 0.72) back Beni Thour to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Beni Thour
15%
Draws
36%
IRB Nezla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beni Thour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beni Thour come out ahead of IRB Nezla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Beni Thour a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Beni Thour Clean Sheet 20%
IRB Nezla Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beni Thour IRB Nezla
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 9 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.03 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.45 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beni Thour 42 / 100
IRB Nezla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beni Thour IRB Nezla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IRB Nezla conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Beni Thour's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

IRB Nezla lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Recent resilience: Beni Thour stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beni Thour VS IRB Nezla
0.5 Goals Scored 0.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.4
38% Over 1.5 20%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beni Thour

(Home)
02 Oct
MO Constantine
2 : 1
Beni Thour
26 Sept
Beni Thour
1 : 3
MO Bejaia
09 May
IB Khemis El Khechna
2 : 3
Beni Thour
02 May
Beni Thour
0 : 2
Biskra
21 Apr
Beni Thour
0 : 0
MSP Batna
Page 1 of 6

IRB Nezla

(Away)
26 Sept
IRB Nezla
1 : 0
JS Djijel
18 Sept
Skikda
2 : 0
IRB Nezla
04 Jan
IRB Nezla
0 : 1
Kolea
16 Dec
IRB Nezla
1 : 4
Constantine
31 Dec
IRB Nezla
0 : 4
Saida

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annaba 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Skikda 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Magra 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
4 Azazga 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 MO Constantine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 MSP Batna 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Khroub 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 MO Bejaia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Paradou 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Beni Oulbane 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 IRB Nezla 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 US Chaouia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 JS Djijel 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Telaghema 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
15 CA Batna 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Beni Thour 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Kouba 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Harrach 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 USM Blida 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 Saida 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 GC Mascara 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 WA Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Sidi Benali 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
9 ASM Oran 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
10 Hussein Dey 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
11 Tlemcen 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Kolea 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
13 El Bayadh 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
14 JSM Tiaret 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
15 Arba 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Taghit 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)