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Benidorm vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Benidorm Logo

Benidorm

1 - 0
FT
La Nucia Logo

La Nucia

Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Minano J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Benidorm in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benidorm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Benidorm
20%
Draws
48%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • La Nucia have won more games recently than Benidorm.
  • La Nucia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Benidorm Clean Sheet 16%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benidorm La Nucia
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 21
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.51
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Benidorm
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benidorm vs La Nucia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benidorm 10 / 100
La Nucia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benidorm La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benidorm's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Benidorm went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

La Nucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Nucia
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benidorm

(Home)
11 May
La Nucia
0 : 1
Benidorm
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Soneja
2 : 2
Benidorm
20 Apr
Benidorm
1 : 5
Castellon B
13 Apr
Torrellano
1 : 1
Benidorm
Page 1 of 6

La Nucia

(Away)
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
08 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 2
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)