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Benidorm vs Rayo Ibense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Boyko Y.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 game between Benidorm and Rayo Ibense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benidorm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Benidorm
30%
Draws
8%
Rayo Ibense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benidorm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Benidorm carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Benidorm a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Benidorm Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benidorm Rayo Ibense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.07 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benidorm vs Rayo Ibense
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Benidorm
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benidorm Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyko Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benidorm 77 / 100
Rayo Ibense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benidorm Rayo Ibense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benidorm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Ibense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Benidorm scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Benidorm stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benidorm VS Rayo Ibense
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benidorm

(Home)
11 May
La Nucia
0 : 1
Benidorm
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Soneja
2 : 2
Benidorm
20 Apr
Benidorm
1 : 5
Castellon B
13 Apr
Torrellano
1 : 1
Benidorm
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Rayo Ibense

(Away)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)