Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beniel vs Molina

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Beniel and Molina finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Beniel
15%
Draws
49%
Molina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molina come out ahead of Beniel on wins alone.
  • Molina are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Molina have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Beniel Clean Sheet 20%
Molina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beniel Molina
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.72 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs Molina
2:0
Dec 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Beniel
1:0
Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs Molina
2:3
Sep 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Beniel
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beniel 20 / 100
Molina 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beniel Molina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Molina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Beniel scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Beniel VS Molina
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beniel

(Home)
11 May
Beniel
0 : 4
Plus Ultra
05 May
CA Pulpileno
5 : 1
Beniel
27 Apr
Beniel
1 : 3
Futbol Club Jumilla
20 Apr
Beniel
2 : 0
Molina
14 Apr
Deportiva Minera
4 : 0
Beniel
Page 1 of 6

Molina

(Away)
04 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Molina
14 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Molina
09 May
Molina
1 : 2
Futbol Club Jumilla
03 May
Molina
0 : 5
E.G. El Palmar
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3
Molina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)